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I'm leaning toward the Celtics to cover the spread in this one, and it's not just a hunch—it's based on a clear trend and some glaring mismatches. While I want to believe the Knicks can bounce back and make this series interesting, the reality is they've struggled mightily against Boston. The Celtics have held commanding leads in all three games, and if it weren't for some wild fourth-quarter swings, this series would likely be 3-0 in their favor.

The Knicks, meanwhile, have been absolutely dreadful as significant home underdogs. In their last 14 home games when getting five or more points, New York is a miserable 0-14 straight up and 0-13-1 against the spread. Not only are they losing, but they're getting blown out, with those defeats coming by an average of 14.3 points. To make matters worse, they haven't won in this spot since January 2021—a staggering drought for a team that prides itself on home-court advantage.

Adding to the woes, the Knicks have now dropped three straight home playoff games, which is hardly the kind of momentum you want when facing a powerhouse like Boston. Madison Square Garden might be loud, but the Knicks haven’t capitalized on that energy lately.

I’d love to see a competitive game, but the numbers don't lie. Until the Knicks prove they can step up in this kind of situation, I have to back the Celtics to cover the spread. Boston's dominance and New York's brutal trend as home underdogs make it hard to go any other way. Take Boston ATS


NBA Basketball Picks
Monday, May 12th 2025 7:35 PM
Finished

NBA Basketball Cappers Picks for Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


Germantas Kneita 100 % Jackson Reyes 100 % LVSB BIG Favorites 71 % Paul Biagioli 85 % Eddie Picks and parlays 74 % Brian Bitler 57 % Brad Francis 56 % Sports Picks Forum 56 % Dormroom Degenerates 100 % Picks 4 Dayzzz 75 %

Spread
Money
Total
-5.5 -110
-230
O208.5 -110
5.5 -110
195
U208.5 -110


SPREAD
Boston Celtics -5.5 (-110)
AVG SPREAD W%: 51 ROI: -3
Trent Pruitt W%: 49 ROI: -6 Randy Chambers W%: 48 ROI: -7 Peter Tran W%: 49 ROI: -6 Tony Sink W%: 49 ROI: -6 Brian Bitler W%: 52 ROI: -0 Big Al W%: 52 ROI: -3 Max Turner W%: 48 ROI: -8 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 Ray Monohan W%: 50 ROI: -4 Las Vegas Sports Betting W%: 48 ROI: -7 Dwayne Bryant W%: 50 ROI: -5 HEdge Admin W%: 61 ROI: 16 Dquan Picks W%: 52 ROI: -6 Robert Ferringo W%: 52 ROI: -1

SPREAD
New York Knicks 5.5 (-110)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -4
Paul Biagioli W%: 51 ROI: -2 Brad Francis W%: 51 ROI: -7 Jackson Reyes W%: 54 ROI: 3 Sports Picks Forum W%: 49 ROI: -6 Corey Scott W%: 51 ROI: -1 Picks 4 Dayzzz W%: 46 ROI: -13



MONEY
Boston Celtics -230
AVG MONEY W%: 68 ROI: -2
LVSB BIG Favorites W%: 68 ROI: -2

MONEY
New York Knicks 195
AVG MONEY W%: 47 ROI: -7
Eddie Picks and parlays W%: 47 ROI: -7

TOTAL
UNDER 208.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 50 ROI: -6
Trent Pruitt W%: 49 ROI: -6 Big Al W%: 52 ROI: -3 Steve Fezzik W%: 54 ROI: -1 Max Turner W%: 48 ROI: -8 LVSB Total W%: 47 ROI: -10 Hakeem Profit W%: 48 ROI: -10 Corey Scott W%: 51 ROI: -1

TOTAL
OVER 208.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 47 ROI: -8
Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 Germantas Kneita W%: 52 ROI: 2 Dormroom Degenerates W%: 42 ROI: -20